Alaska U.S. Senate 2026
A sourced guide to the major-party nominees, ballot context and where official voting and results information will appear. This is not an endorsement or a forecast.
Our Final Call · Oct 29 projectionPeltola (D) by 2Read why →The Alaska Senate race: history, data and the final week
Data for Progress fieldwork ending October 16 and an AARP poll ending September 11 used multi-candidate first-choice questions; other published surveys use different lineups or simulated two-way comparisons. Because those measurements answer different questions, ElectionTracker does not publish a single blended Alaska headline average. Alaska’s ranked-choice count may also require additional rounds.
Update, Oct. 28: The New York Times reported that aides to Mary Peltola’s campaign and DSCC staff helped recruit the second Dan Sullivan on the ballot; Peltola’s campaign and the DSCC deny it. Read our explainer →
How this state voted before
Dan Sullivan won his previous Senate general election in 2020 by 12.7 percentage points. The electoral system now features a top-four primary and ranked-choice general-election tabulation.
Historic vote shares are descriptions of previous electorates, not a projection of the 2026 outcome. Senate and presidential voters may make different choices.
Meet the candidates
Mary Peltola
Mary Peltola is a former U.S. representative and the Democratic-aligned candidate in the Senate election.
Dan Sullivan
Dan Sullivan is the incumbent Republican senator; an additional candidate with the same shortened name appears in the wider ballot discussion, which requires particular care in interpreting polls.
Background: race and candidate reporting.
Issues and documented contrasts
Polls measuring first preferences cannot be averaged with hypothetical final-round transfers.
Verify full candidate names in polls, including candidates who share common names.
Issue descriptions summarize publicly documented campaign positions and debates. See source reporting for full context, statements and responses.
Race timeline
Sullivan won reelection.
Alaska first used ranked choice in a regular U.S. Senate general election.
Peltola and Sullivan advanced to general election.
First-choice reporting; ranked-choice tabulation if necessary.
Alaska polling warning: Polls listing four candidates are not equivalent to simulated final-round matchups. Candidate identity needs special verification. Alaska Division of Elections.
Polls and polling average
Every public poll of Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan we have tracked since Jan 11: 23 in all, 17 of them from independent pollsters that count toward the average. Updated October 31, 2026. Tap a dot for the poll’s details and source; switch to Margin for the clearest read on a phone. This is published polling, not a forecast.
Loading the interactive poll tracker… Every public poll we track for this race, newest first:
| Fielded | Pollster / source | Sample | Peltola (D) | Sullivan (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26–Oct 29 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,326 LV | 48 | 46 | D+2 |
| Oct 8–Oct 16 | Data for Progress | 694 LV | 47 | 44 | D+3 |
| Oct 14–Oct 15 | Public Policy Polling Excluded | 578 RV | 48 | 47 | D+1 |
| Oct 12–Oct 15 | Rasmussen Reports | 775 LV | 44 | 42 | D+2 |
| Oct 9–Oct 10 | InsiderAdvantage | 1,200 LV | 48.2 | 42.6 | D+5.6 |
| Oct 1–Oct 3 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,512 LV | 47 | 45 | D+2 |
| Sep 24–Oct 1 | New York Times / Siena Excluded | LV | 50 | 43 | D+7 |
| Sep 28–Sep 30 | Quantus Insights | 758 LV | 45.5 | 46.1 | R+0.6 |
| Sep 22–Sep 24 | Trafalgar Group | 1,079 LV | 45.5 | 46.8 | R+1.3 |
| Sep 14–Sep 17 | co/efficient | 799 LV | 46 | 48 | R+2 |
| Sep 13–Sep 14 | Rasmussen Reports | 1,188 LV | 39 | 39 | Tie |
| Sep 10–Sep 12 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,352 LV | 48 | 44 | D+4 |
| Sep 8–Sep 11 | Fabrizio Ward / Impact Research | 800 LV | 46 | 41 | D+5 |
| Aug 20–Aug 23 | Alaska Survey Research Excluded | 1,495 LV | 50.6 | 49.4 | D+1.2 |
| Aug 2–Aug 5 | Alaska Survey Research Excluded | 1,371 LV | 50.8 | 49.2 | D+1.6 |
| Jul 28–Aug 4 | Data for Progress | 605 LV | 47 | 41 | D+6 |
| Jun 15–Jun 29 | New York Times/Siena College | 593 LV | 45 | 47 | R+2 |
| Jun 4–Jun 7 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,393 LV | 49 | 44 | D+5 |
| May 14–May 17 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,401 LV | 48 | 44 | D+4 |
| Apr 16–Apr 19 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,946 LV | 49.1 | 42.5 | D+6.6 |
| Mar 19–Mar 22 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,340 LV | 48.8 | 43.5 | D+5.3 |
| Jan 16–Jan 17 | Public Policy Polling Excluded | 611 | 49 | 47 | D+2 |
| Jan 8–Jan 11 | Alaska Survey Research Excluded | LV | 48 | 46.4 | D+1.6 |
Final-week research notes
Data for Progress fieldwork ending October 16 and an AARP poll ending September 11 used multi-candidate first-choice questions; other published surveys use different lineups or simulated two-way comparisons. Because those measurements answer different questions, ElectionTracker does not publish a single blended Alaska headline average. Alaska’s ranked-choice count may also require additional rounds.
Polls measure surveyed respondents during specific field dates. Reported differences can reflect sampling, questionnaire design, sponsors or voter screens. They do not determine the November 3 outcome.
Source notebook
Selected sources for the editorial context and poll references. Survey source links also appear in the table and chart. Reviewed 2026-10-26.
Corrections welcome: corrections@electiontracker.live. This is independent informational coverage and does not endorse or forecast a candidate.
Race background
Incumbent Dan Sullivan and former Rep. Mary Peltola are among the candidates appearing in Alaska’s general election. Alaska uses a ranked-choice general-election system. A first-choice leader is not automatically the certified winner if later rounds are required.
What to watch on November 3
Pay attention to ranked-choice tabulation rounds, absentee ballot reporting, and time-zone differences. Do not treat a first-preference tally as a final winner declaration.
Reading a race call: Preliminary totals are unofficial. Media projections must name the projecting outlet; certification comes from authorized election officials.
Sources and election resources
Nominee and contextual information checked October 26, 2026. Follow these primary and independent resources to confirm changes after this review date.
Related coverage
Election-week update log · Official voting tools.
Any ballot or nomination change after October 26 should be checked against the state election authority before being reflected on this page.